Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction & odds
Benfica host Lech Poznan in the UEFA Europa League (round 4) on Thursday 05 November 2026. Benfica are #14 in our world ranking and have won all of their last 5; Lech Poznan are #108 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Benfica the favourites at 74%, with a draw at 16% and Lech Poznan at 10%.
Rating: 1605
Chance to win: 74%
Last 5: WWWWW
Rating: 1336
Chance to win: 10%
Last 5: LWDWL
Who will win Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
Benfica are #14 and Lech Poznan #108 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Benfica (74%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-03 | Benfica v Lech Poznan | 4-0 |
| 2020-10-22 | Lech Poznan v Benfica | 2-4 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |