Birmingham vs Millwall prediction & odds
Birmingham host Millwall in the Championship (round 14) on Tuesday 03 November 2026. Birmingham are #226 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Millwall are #284 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Birmingham the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and Millwall at 27%.
Rating: 1211
Chance to win: 46%
Last 5: LWWWD
Rating: 1178
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: LDLWD
Who will win Birmingham vs Millwall?
Birmingham are #226 and Millwall #284 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Birmingham (46%). More from the Championship.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | Millwall v Birmingham | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Birmingham v Millwall | 4-0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Millwall v Birmingham | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-02 | Birmingham v Millwall | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-18 | Millwall v Birmingham | 0-1 |
Championship table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 21 | #314 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 20 | #97 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 20 | #226 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 20 | #331 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 20 | #448 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 19 | #320 |
| 11 | Blackburn | 12 | 18 | #360 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 12 | 18 | #339 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 15 | #284 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 15 | #511 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 15 | #298 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |