Birmingham vs Swansea prediction & odds
Birmingham host Swansea in the Championship (round 15) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Birmingham are #226 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Swansea are #238 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Birmingham the favourites at 42%, with a draw at 28% and Swansea at 29%.
Rating: 1211
Chance to win: 42%
Last 5: LWWWD
Rating: 1205
Chance to win: 29%
Last 5: LLWWW
Who will win Birmingham vs Swansea?
Birmingham are #226 and Swansea #238 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Birmingham (42%). More from the Championship.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Swansea v Birmingham | 0-1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Swansea v Birmingham | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Birmingham v Swansea | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-13 | Birmingham v Swansea | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-05 | Swansea v Birmingham | 1-1 |
Championship table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 25 | #167 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 23 | #238 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 22 | #44 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 21 | #102 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 21 | #314 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 20 | #97 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 20 | #226 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 20 | #331 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 20 | #448 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |