Boca Juniors vs River Plate prediction & odds
Boca Juniors host River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 15) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Boca Juniors are #155 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; River Plate are #223 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Boca Juniors the favourites at 49%, with a draw at 26% and River Plate at 24%.
Rating: 1278
Chance to win: 49%
Last 5: WWWLD
Rating: 1215
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: WWDWL
Who will win Boca Juniors vs River Plate?
Boca Juniors are #155 and River Plate #223 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Boca Juniors (49%). More from the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | River Plate v Boca Juniors | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Boca Juniors v River Plate | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | River Plate v Boca Juniors | 2-1 |
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 31 | #381 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 15 | 31 | #161 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 30 | #155 |
| 6 | River Plate | 16 | 29 | #223 |
| 7 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 29 | #198 |
| 8 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 28 | #262 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 32 |
| 2 |  Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 27 |
| 4 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 |  Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 |  Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 |  Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 |  San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -9 | 9 |
Second half of the season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
First half of the season.