Botafogo vs Atletico-MG prediction & odds
Botafogo host Atletico-MG in the Serie A (round 34) on Thursday 05 November 2026. Botafogo are #524 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; Atletico-MG are #271 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 253 places - in Atletico-MG's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Botafogo v Atletico-MG as close to a coin flip: Botafogo 31%, a draw 29%, Atletico-MG 40%.
Rating: 1083
Chance to win: 31%
Last 5: LLWDL
Rating: 1187
Chance to win: 40%
Last 5: LLLWW
Who will win Botafogo vs Atletico-MG?
Botafogo are #524 and Atletico-MG #271 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atletico-MG (40%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Atletico-MG v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Botafogo v Atletico-MG | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Atletico-MG v Botafogo | 1-0 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 54 | #361 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 53 | #283 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 50 | #271 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 47 | #212 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 | #345 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 43 | #371 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 39 | #524 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 39 | #691 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 38 | #276 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |