Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: result and our prediction
Bournemouth host Aston Villa in the League Cup (Round of 16) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Bournemouth are #8 in our world ranking and have won all of their last 5; Aston Villa are #11 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Bournemouth v Aston Villa as close to a coin flip: Bournemouth 39%, a draw 29%, Aston Villa 32%.
Rating: 1667
Chance to win: 39%
Last 5: WWWWW
Rating: 1652
Chance to win: 32%
Last 5: LWWWW
Who will win Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
Bournemouth are #8 and Aston Villa #11 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Bournemouth (39%). More from the Premier League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Bournemouth v Aston Villa | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Bournemouth v Aston Villa | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Aston Villa v Bournemouth | 4-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Bournemouth v Aston Villa | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Aston Villa v Bournemouth | 1-1 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.