Bournemouth vs Leeds prediction & odds
Bournemouth host Leeds in the Premier League (round 9) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Bournemouth are #8 in our world ranking and have won all of their last 5; Leeds are #24 and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Bournemouth the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 24% and Leeds at 21%.
Rating: 1667
Chance to win: 55%
Last 5: WWWWW
Rating: 1556
Chance to win: 21%
Last 5: DDLDW
Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Bournemouth are #8 and Leeds #24 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Bournemouth (55%). More from the Premier League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Bournemouth v Leeds | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Leeds v Bournemouth | 2-2 |
| 2023-04-30 | Bournemouth v Leeds | 4-1 |
| 2022-11-05 | Leeds v Bournemouth | 4-3 |
Premier League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 13 | #16 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 11 | #17 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 11 | #24 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 11 | #26 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 11 | #11 |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 10 | #166 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 10 | #23 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 10 | #105 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 9 | #8 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 9 | #30 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 8 | #37 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 |  Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |