Our model makes Bournemouth the favourites at 75%, with a draw at 16% and Sturm Graz at 9%.
Bournemouth are #18 and Sturm Graz #138 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Bournemouth (75%). More from the Premier League.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.