Our model makes Buriram United the favourites at 59%, with a draw at 21% and Beijing Guoan at 20%.
Buriram United are #387 and Beijing Guoan #788 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Buriram United (59%). More from the Thai League 1.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.