Cacereño vs Lugo prediction & odds
Cacereño host Lugo in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 11) on Friday 06 November 2026. Cacereño are #962 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Lugo are #696 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 266 places - in Lugo's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Cacereño v Lugo as close to a coin flip: Cacereño 35%, a draw 30%, Lugo 35%.
Rating: 972
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: WLDLD
Rating: 1032
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: LWWWW
Who will win Cacereño vs Lugo?
Cacereño are #962 and Lugo #696 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Lugo (35%). More from the Primera División RFEF.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Cacereño v Lugo | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Lugo v Cacereño | 1-0 |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 9 | 22 | #696 |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 9 | 20 | #610 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 9 | 16 | #951 |
| 4 | Cacereño | 9 | 15 | #962 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 9 | 14 | #588 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 9 | 14 | #877 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Mérida AD | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |