Our model makes Birmingham the favourites at 44%, with a draw at 28% and Cardiff at 28%.
Cardiff are #557 and Birmingham #231 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Birmingham (44%). More from the Championship.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-10 | Birmingham v Cardiff | 0-1 |
| 2023-12-13 | Cardiff v Birmingham | 0-1 |
| 2023-08-29 | Birmingham v Cardiff | 1-3 |
| 2023-02-14 | Birmingham v Cardiff | 0-2 |
| 2022-08-13 | Cardiff v Birmingham | 1-0 |
Cardiff have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 23 | #188 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 21 | #175 |
| 3 | West Ham | 10 | 19 | #42 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 17 | #231 |
| 5 | QPR | 10 | 17 | #345 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 10 | 11 | #316 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 10 | #557 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 9 | #294 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.