Cardiff vs Burnley prediction & odds
Cardiff host Burnley in the Championship (round 15) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Cardiff are #510 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Burnley are #275 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 235 places - in Burnley's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Cardiff v Burnley as close to a coin flip: Cardiff 32%, a draw 29%, Burnley 40%.
Rating: 1086
Chance to win: 32%
Last 5: WDWLW
Rating: 1184
Chance to win: 40%
Last 5: LLDWD
Who will win Cardiff vs Burnley?
Cardiff are #510 and Burnley #275 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Burnley (40%). More from the Championship.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-23 | Burnley v Cardiff | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-04 | Cardiff v Burnley | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-17 | Burnley v Cardiff | 5-0 |
| 2023-05-08 | Burnley v Cardiff | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-01 | Cardiff v Burnley | 1-1 |
Championship table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 15 | #511 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 15 | #298 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 14 | #510 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 13 | 14 | #327 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 14 | #641 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 14 | #719 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 12 | #303 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 11 | #887 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 8 | #275 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 7 | #538 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 5 | #905 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |