Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: result and our prediction
Casa Pia host Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga (round 10) on Friday 30 October 2026. Casa Pia are #370 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Sporting CP are #22 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 348 places - in Sporting CP's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Sporting CP the favourites at 75%, with a draw at 16% and Casa Pia at 9%.
Rating: 1134
Chance to win: 9%
Last 5: LWWLW
Rating: 1563
Chance to win: 75%
Last 5: WWLLW
Who will win Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
Casa Pia are #370 and Sporting CP #22 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Sporting CP (75%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Casa Pia v Sporting CP | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-16 | Sporting CP v Casa Pia | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Casa Pia v Sporting CP | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-09 | Casa Pia v Sporting CP | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 | Sporting CP v Casa Pia | 2-0 |
Sporting CP have won the last 5 meetings.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 27 | #27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 22 | #14 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 21 | #22 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 18 | #186 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 9 | 7 | #378 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 7 | #370 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 2 | #420 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 2 |