Our model makes Celta Vigo the favourites at 43%, with a draw at 28% and Alaves at 29%.
Celta Vigo are #58 and Alaves #64 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Celta Vigo (43%). More from the La Liga.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Celta Vigo v Alaves | 3-4 |
| 2025-11-22 | Alaves v Celta Vigo | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-27 | Alaves v Celta Vigo | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-16 | Celta Vigo v Alaves | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Alaves v Celta Vigo | 3-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 13 | #68 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 13 | #52 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 11 | #64 |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 10 | #117 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 8 | #58 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 8 | #60 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 8 | #43 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.