Our model makes Arouca the favourites at 44%, with a draw at 28% and CF Os Belenenses at 28%.
CF Os Belenenses are #335 and Arouca #157 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Arouca (44%). More from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.