Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC: result and our prediction
Chicago Fire host Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer (round 32) on Thursday 29 October 2026. Chicago Fire are #572 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Orlando City SC are #687 and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 115 places - in Chicago Fire's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Chicago Fire the favourites at 47%, with a draw at 27% and Orlando City SC at 26%.
Rating: 1071
Chance to win: 47%
Last 5: DWLLW
Rating: 1037
Chance to win: 26%
Last 5: DDWDW
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?
Chicago Fire are #572 and Orlando City SC #687 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Chicago Fire (47%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC | 2-2 |
| 2026-08-19 | Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-23 | Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-04 | Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC | 0-0 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 71 | #264 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 58 | #501 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 32 | 58 | #657 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 32 | 54 | #480 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 52 | #572 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 32 | 51 | #549 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 43 | #703 |
| 16 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 43 | #687 |
| 17 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 42 | #813 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 43 | 71 |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 58 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 43 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 39 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 |  DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -30 | 25 |