Chornomorets vs Karpaty: result and our prediction
Chornomorets host Karpaty in the Premier League (round 10) on Sunday 25 October 2026. Chornomorets are #2,189 in our world ranking and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Karpaty are #488 and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,701 places - in Karpaty's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Karpaty the favourites at 64%, with a draw at 21% and Chornomorets at 15%.
Rating: 795
Chance to win: 15%
Last 5: DLLDL
Rating: 1092
Chance to win: 64%
Last 5: WDDLD
Who will win Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
Chornomorets are #2189 and Karpaty #488 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Karpaty (64%). More from the Premier League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Chornomorets v Karpaty | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Karpaty v Chornomorets | 4-0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Chornomorets v Karpaty | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-21 | Karpaty v Chornomorets | 3-0 |
Premier League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polessya | 10 | 25 | #230 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 10 | 25 | #87 |
| 3 | FC Kharkiv | 9 | 21 | #481 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 9 | 19 | #290 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 10 | 16 | #488 |
| 6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 15 | #573 |
| 13 | Obolon'-Brovar | 9 | 7 | #1558 |
| 14 | Chornomorets | 9 | 6 | #2189 |
| 15 | Kryvbas KR | 8 | 6 | #782 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polessya | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 |  Karpaty | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 |  LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Zorya Luhansk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Bukovyna | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 |  Veres Rivne | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 |  Livyi Bereh | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Obolon'-Brovar | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -11 | 7 |
| 14 |  Chornomorets | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Kryvbas KR | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Kudrivka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 |