Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo: result and our prediction
Club Nacional host Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera División - Apertura (Clausura - 12) on Sunday 25 October 2026. Club Nacional are #504 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Liverpool Montevideo are #539 and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Club Nacional the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and Liverpool Montevideo at 26%.
Rating: 1086
Chance to win: 46%
Last 5: LWWWW
Rating: 1079
Chance to win: 26%
Last 5: WWWDW
Who will win Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Club Nacional are #504 and Liverpool Montevideo #539 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Club Nacional (46%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Club Nacional v Liverpool Montevideo | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Liverpool Montevideo v Club Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Club Nacional v Liverpool Montevideo | 3-1 |
| 2025-03-26 | Liverpool Montevideo v Club Nacional | 2-2 |
Primera División - Apertura table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 143 | #474 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 71 | 137 | #504 |
| 3 | Liverpool Montevideo | 71 | 121 | #539 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 110 | #956 |
| 5 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 109 | #415 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 |  Progreso | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Cerro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Racing Montevideo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Boston River | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 |  Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Danubio | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 |  Cerro Largo | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Defensor Sporting | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Second half of the season.