Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC: result and our prediction
Columbus Crew host Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer (round 31) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Columbus Crew are #494 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Toronto FC are #927 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 433 places - in Columbus Crew's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Columbus Crew the favourites at 49%, with a draw at 26% and Toronto FC at 24%.
Rating: 1089
Chance to win: 49%
Last 5: WWDWW
Rating: 984
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: WLWDW
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
Columbus Crew are #494 and Toronto FC #927 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Columbus Crew (49%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Columbus Crew v Toronto FC | 4-2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Toronto FC v Columbus Crew | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Columbus Crew v Toronto FC | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Toronto FC v Columbus Crew | 1-1 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 43 | #687 |
| 17 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 42 | #813 |
| 18 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 41 | #494 |
| 19 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 41 | #848 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 40 | #824 |
| 21 | Toronto FC | 32 | 39 | #927 |
| 22 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 39 | #1091 |
| 23 | New York City FC | 32 | 38 | #798 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 43 | 71 |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 58 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 43 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 39 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 |  DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -30 | 25 |