Coritiba vs Gremio: result and our prediction
Coritiba host Gremio in the Serie A (round 32) on Monday 26 October 2026. Coritiba are #699 in our world ranking and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Gremio are #459 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 240 places - in Gremio's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Coritiba v Gremio as close to a coin flip: Coritiba 37%, a draw 30%, Gremio 34%.
Rating: 1033
Chance to win: 37%
Last 5: LLDLL
Rating: 1101
Chance to win: 34%
Last 5: WWLDD
Who will win Coritiba vs Gremio?
Coritiba are #699 and Gremio #459 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Coritiba (37%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Coritiba v Gremio | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gremio v Coritiba | 1-0 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 43 | #376 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 39 | #521 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 39 | #699 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 38 | #276 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 38 | #518 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37 | #459 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 32 | 37 | #323 |
| 17 | Internacional | 33 | 35 | #460 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |