Coritiba host Vitoria in the Serie A (round 33) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Coritiba are #691 in our world ranking and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Vitoria are #520 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 171 places - in Vitoria's favour.
Our model sees Coritiba v Vitoria as close to a coin flip: Coritiba 36%, a draw 30%, Vitoria 34%.
Coritiba are #691 and Vitoria #520 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Coritiba (36%). More from the Serie A.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Vitoria v Coritiba | 4-1 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 43 | #371 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 39 | #524 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 39 | #691 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 38 | #276 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 38 | #520 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 37 | #405 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 37 | #373 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |