Criciuma vs Novorizontino prediction & odds
Criciuma host Novorizontino in the Serie B (round 38) on Saturday 14 November 2026. Criciuma are #1,113 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Novorizontino are #588 and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 525 places - in Novorizontino's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Novorizontino the favourites at 43%, with a draw at 28% and Criciuma at 29%.
Rating: 938
Chance to win: 29%
Last 5: WLWWL
Rating: 1066
Chance to win: 43%
Last 5: WDWWW
Who will win Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
Criciuma are #1113 and Novorizontino #588 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Novorizontino (43%). More from the Serie B.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Novorizontino v Criciuma | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Criciuma v Novorizontino | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Novorizontino v Criciuma | 1-1 |
Serie B table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventude | 36 | 65 | #722 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 35 | 64 | #588 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 63 | #1013 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 62 | #1113 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 61 | #665 |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 55 | #1158 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 64 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 63 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 61 |
| 6 |  CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 55 |
| 7 |  Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 55 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 54 |
| 9 |  Goias | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 49 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 48 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 47 |
| 14 |  Nautico Recife | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | -6 | 46 |
| 15 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 44 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | -13 | 37 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | -57 | 15 |