Cruz Azul vs Leon prediction & odds
Cruz Azul host Leon in the Liga MX (Apertura - 15) on Monday 02 November 2026. Cruz Azul are #282 in our world ranking and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5; Leon are #579 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 297 places - in Cruz Azul's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Cruz Azul the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 24% and Leon at 21%.
Rating: 1179
Chance to win: 55%
Last 5: WWWDD
Rating: 1067
Chance to win: 21%
Last 5: DWLDW
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Leon?
Cruz Azul are #282 and Leon #579 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Cruz Azul (55%). More from the Liga MX.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | Leon v Cruz Azul | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-27 | Cruz Azul v Leon | 4-1 |
Liga MX table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 14 | 28 | #336 |
| 2 | Atlas | 15 | 27 | #688 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 26 | #282 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 26 | #324 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 23 | #300 |
| 6 | Leon | 14 | 22 | #579 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 21 | #605 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 13 | 20 | #661 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 |  Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 |  Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 |  Club Tijuana | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 9 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Club Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 |  CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 |
| 14 |  Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -22 | 8 |
First half of the season.