Cruzeiro vs Bahia prediction & odds
Cruzeiro host Bahia in the Serie A (round 34) on Friday 06 November 2026. Cruzeiro are #180 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Bahia are #283 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 103 places - in Cruzeiro's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Cruzeiro the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and Bahia at 24%.
Rating: 1248
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: WWWLW
Rating: 1179
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: WDLWL
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
Cruzeiro are #180 and Bahia #283 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Cruzeiro (50%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Bahia v Cruzeiro | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-15 | Bahia v Cruzeiro | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-18 | Cruzeiro v Bahia | 3-0 |
Cruzeiro have won the last 3 meetings.
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 73 | #74 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 70 | #112 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 57 | #180 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 54 | #246 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 54 | #361 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 53 | #283 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 50 | #271 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 47 | #212 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |