CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: result and our prediction
CSKA Sofia host Ludogorets in the First League (round 12) on Monday 26 October 2026. CSKA Sofia are #232 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Ludogorets are #289 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model sees CSKA Sofia v Ludogorets as close to a coin flip: CSKA Sofia 42%, a draw 28%, Ludogorets 30%.
Rating: 1207
Chance to win: 42%
Last 5: WDWLW
Rating: 1175
Chance to win: 30%
Last 5: LWWWW
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
CSKA Sofia are #232 and Ludogorets #289 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is CSKA Sofia (42%). More from the First League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | CSKA Sofia v Ludogorets | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ludogorets v CSKA Sofia | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-03 | CSKA Sofia v Ludogorets | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-29 | CSKA Sofia v Ludogorets | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Ludogorets v CSKA Sofia | 1-2 |
First League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 30 | #232 |
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 11 | 29 | #173 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 11 | 26 | #289 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 12 | 25 | #394 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 19 | #843 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 30 |
| 2 |  Levski Sofia | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 29 |
| 3 |  Ludogorets | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 |  Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Arda Kardzhali | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Spartak Varna | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Slavia Sofia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Dunav Ruse | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 |  Botev Vratsa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 |  Cherno More Varna | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Septemvri Sofia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 8 |