Cusco vs Sporting Cristal: result and our prediction
Cusco host Sporting Cristal in the Primera División (Clausura - 13) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Cusco are #963 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Sporting Cristal are #760 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 203 places - in Sporting Cristal's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Cusco v Sporting Cristal as close to a coin flip: Cusco 33%, a draw 29%, Sporting Cristal 38%.
Rating: 974
Chance to win: 33%
Last 5: WWLLW
Rating: 1020
Chance to win: 38%
Last 5: WLWWW
Who will win Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?
Cusco are #963 and Sporting Cristal #760 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Sporting Cristal (38%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Cusco v Sporting Cristal | 3-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sporting Cristal v Cusco | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Cusco v Sporting Cristal | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Sporting Cristal v Cusco | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Cusco v Sporting Cristal | 3-2 |
Primera División table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 53 | #773 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 51 | #933 |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 51 | #963 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 50 | #964 |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 47 | #760 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 46 | #999 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 46 | #1680 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 |  Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 25 |
| 5 |  FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 25 |
| 7 |  Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 |  Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 |  Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 |  ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -14 | 5 |
Second half of the season.