Danubio vs Club Nacional prediction & odds
Danubio host Club Nacional in the Primera División - Apertura (Clausura - 13) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Danubio are #1,104 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Club Nacional are #505 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 599 places - in Club Nacional's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Club Nacional the favourites at 45%, with a draw at 28% and Danubio at 27%.
Rating: 940
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: WLWWL
Rating: 1086
Chance to win: 45%
Last 5: LWWWW
Who will win Danubio vs Club Nacional?
Danubio are #1104 and Club Nacional #505 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Club Nacional (45%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Danubio v Club Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Club Nacional v Danubio | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-12 | Danubio v Club Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Club Nacional v Danubio | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Club Nacional v Danubio | 2-0 |
Primera División - Apertura table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 143 | #474 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 71 | 137 | #505 |
| 3 | Liverpool Montevideo | 71 | 121 | #536 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 71 | 81 | #1474 |
| 12 | Danubio | 71 | 75 | #1104 |
| 13 | Progreso | 71 | 74 | #1432 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 |  Progreso | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Cerro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Racing Montevideo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Boston River | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 |  Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Danubio | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 |  Cerro Largo | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Defensor Sporting | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Second half of the season.