Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: result and our prediction
Deportes Tolima host Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A (Clausura - 16) on Monday 26 October 2026. Deportes Tolima are #852 in our world ranking and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Deportivo Pasto are #1,326 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 474 places - in Deportes Tolima's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Deportes Tolima the favourites at 57%, with a draw at 24% and Deportivo Pasto at 19%.
Rating: 998
Chance to win: 57%
Last 5: LLLDD
Rating: 906
Chance to win: 19%
Last 5: WLLDL
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Deportes Tolima are #852 and Deportivo Pasto #1326 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Deportes Tolima (57%). More from the Primera A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto | 0-1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima | 3-2 |
Primera A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 40 | #254 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 35 | #749 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 34 | #1326 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 33 | #370 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 33 | #645 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 31 | #852 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 30 | #510 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29 | #432 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 |  America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 |  Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 6 |  Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25 |
| 7 |  Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 |  Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 |  Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 |  Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 16 |  Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 |  Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 13 |
| 19 |  Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 12 |
Second half of the season.