Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio: result and our prediction
Deportivo Maldonado host Danubio in the Primera División - Apertura (Clausura - 12) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Deportivo Maldonado are #457 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Danubio are #1,117 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 660 places - in Deportivo Maldonado's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Deportivo Maldonado the favourites at 60%, with a draw at 22% and Danubio at 17%.
Rating: 1102
Chance to win: 60%
Last 5: WWLWD
Rating: 940
Chance to win: 17%
Last 5: WLWWL
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
Deportivo Maldonado are #457 and Danubio #1117 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Deportivo Maldonado (60%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Deportivo Maldonado v Danubio | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Deportivo Maldonado v Danubio | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Danubio v Deportivo Maldonado | 1-1 |
Primera División - Apertura table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cerro | 71 | 83 | #1483 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 71 | 81 | #1507 |
| 12 | Danubio | 71 | 75 | #1117 |
| 13 | Progreso | 71 | 74 | #1460 |
| 14 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 62 | #457 |
| 15 | Albion FC | 34 | 46 | #1114 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 34 | 38 | #1698 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 |  Progreso | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Cerro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Racing Montevideo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Boston River | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 |  Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Danubio | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 |  Cerro Largo | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Defensor Sporting | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Second half of the season.