Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka: result and our prediction
Dinamo Zagreb host HNK Rijeka in the HNL (round 11) on Tuesday 27 October 2026. Dinamo Zagreb are #93 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; HNK Rijeka are #252 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 159 places - in Dinamo Zagreb's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Dinamo Zagreb the favourites at 59%, with a draw at 23% and HNK Rijeka at 18%.
Rating: 1355
Chance to win: 59%
Last 5: WLWWL
Rating: 1195
Chance to win: 18%
Last 5: LWWLW
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?
Dinamo Zagreb are #93 and HNK Rijeka #252 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Dinamo Zagreb (59%). More from the HNL.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Dinamo Zagreb v HNK Rijeka | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Dinamo Zagreb v HNK Rijeka | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Dinamo Zagreb v HNK Rijeka | 2-2 |
| 2026-02-08 | HNK Rijeka v Dinamo Zagreb | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Dinamo Zagreb v HNK Rijeka | 2-1 |
HNL table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 11 | 23 | #152 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 10 | 22 | #93 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 11 | 18 | #342 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 11 | 17 | #664 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 10 | 17 | #252 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 11 | 13 | #522 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 11 | 13 | #635 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 |  NK Varazdin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 |  NK Osijek | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 |  HNK Rijeka | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Istra 1961 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 8 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Rudes | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 10 |  HNK Gorica | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |