Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: result and our prediction
Dundalk host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division (round 36) on Friday 30 October 2026. Dundalk are #1,863 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; Shamrock Rovers are #886 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 977 places - in Shamrock Rovers's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourites at 53%, with a draw at 25% and Dundalk at 22%.
Rating: 830
Chance to win: 22%
Last 5: WLDLL
Rating: 989
Chance to win: 53%
Last 5: LWLWW
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Dundalk are #1863 and Shamrock Rovers #886 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Shamrock Rovers (53%). More from the Premier Division.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers | 3-1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers | 0-1 |
Premier Division table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 68 | #886 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 36 | 65 | #836 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 60 | #872 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 36 | 49 | #1040 |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 48 | #938 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 36 | 45 | #1863 |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 43 | #965 |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 42 | #1562 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | -4 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | -13 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -38 | 25 |