Dundee vs Kilmarnock: result and our prediction
Dundee host Kilmarnock in the Premiership (round 11) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Dundee are #804 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Kilmarnock are #1,108 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 304 places - in Dundee's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Dundee the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and Kilmarnock at 26%.
Rating: 1010
Chance to win: 46%
Last 5: WLDWW
Rating: 942
Chance to win: 26%
Last 5: LLWLD
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee are #804 and Kilmarnock #1108 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Dundee (46%). More from the Premiership.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Dundee v Kilmarnock | 3-1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Kilmarnock v Dundee | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Kilmarnock v Dundee | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Kilmarnock v Dundee | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-30 | Dundee v Kilmarnock | 2-1 |
Premiership table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 24 | #160 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 20 | #283 |
| 4 | Dundee | 11 | 17 | #804 |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 16 | #746 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 11 | 15 | #803 |
| 7 | ST Mirren | 11 | 14 | #1070 |
| 8 | ST Johnstone | 11 | 13 | #825 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 11 | 11 | #928 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 11 | 9 | #767 |
| 11 | Hibernian | 11 | 8 | #718 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 8 | #1108 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 |  ST Mirren | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Johnstone | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 9 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Motherwell | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |