Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC: result and our prediction
Emelec host Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro (Placement Group - 4) on Sunday 25 October 2026. Emelec are #778 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Guayaquil City FC are #708 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Emelec the favourites at 44%, with a draw at 28% and Guayaquil City FC at 28%.
Rating: 1017
Chance to win: 44%
Last 5: LWLLL
Rating: 1031
Chance to win: 28%
Last 5: WLWDW
Who will win Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?
Emelec are #778 and Guayaquil City FC #708 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Emelec (44%). More from the Liga Pro.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Emelec v Guayaquil City FC | 0-1 |
| 2026-10-10 | Guayaquil City FC v Emelec | 3-2 |
| 2026-08-10 | Guayaquil City FC v Emelec | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Emelec v Guayaquil City FC | 1-3 |
Liga Pro table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Libertad | 34 | 50 | #487 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 48 | #443 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 46 | #708 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 44 | #818 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 43 | #779 |
| 11 | Emelec | 34 | 42 | #778 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 40 | #937 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 34 | 38 | #845 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |