Emelec vs Leones del Norte prediction & odds
Emelec host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro (Placement Group - 5) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Emelec are #769 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Leones del Norte are #770 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Emelec v Leones del Norte as close to a coin flip: Emelec 42%, a draw 28%, Leones del Norte 30%.
Rating: 1017
Chance to win: 42%
Last 5: LWLLL
Rating: 1017
Chance to win: 30%
Last 5: WLLDL
Who will win Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
Emelec are #769 and Leones del Norte #770 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Emelec (42%). More from the Liga Pro.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Leones del Norte v Emelec | 1-3 |
| 2026-08-30 | Emelec v Leones del Norte | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Leones del Norte v Emelec | 2-0 |
Liga Pro table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 46 | #701 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 44 | #814 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 43 | #770 |
| 11 | Emelec | 34 | 42 | #769 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 34 | 40 | #926 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 34 | 38 | #839 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |