Our model makes ES Tunis the favourites at 61%, with a draw at 22% and US Monastirienne at 17%.
ES Tunis are #347 and US Monastirienne #953 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is ES Tunis (61%). More from the Ligue 1.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | US Monastirienne v ES Tunis | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-15 | ES Tunis v US Monastirienne | 1-1 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Tunis | 5 | 12 | #347 |
| 2 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 5 | 11 | #1412 |
| 3 | US Ben Guerdane | 5 | 11 | #1024 |
| 4 | Club Africain | 4 | 9 | #446 |
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 5 | 9 | #953 |
| 6 | CS Sfaxien | 5 | 8 | #571 |
| 7 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 5 | 8 | #1192 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.