ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne prediction & odds
ES Tunis host US Monastirienne in the Ligue 1 (round 7) on Saturday 07 November 2026. ES Tunis are #351 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; US Monastirienne are #894 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 543 places - in ES Tunis's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes ES Tunis the favourites at 60%, with a draw at 23% and US Monastirienne at 18%.
Rating: 1142
Chance to win: 60%
Last 5: DWLWW
Rating: 987
Chance to win: 18%
Last 5: WDWDW
Who will win ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne?
ES Tunis are #351 and US Monastirienne #894 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is ES Tunis (60%). More from the Ligue 1.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | US Monastirienne v ES Tunis | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-15 | ES Tunis v US Monastirienne | 1-1 |
Ligue 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 7 | 17 | #934 |
| 2 | ES Tunis | 6 | 13 | #351 |
| 3 | Club Africain | 5 | 12 | #377 |
| 4 | US Monastirienne | 6 | 12 | #894 |
| 5 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 6 | 11 | #1430 |
| 6 | CA Bizertin | 7 | 11 | #1387 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  US Ben Guerdane | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 |  ES Tunis | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 |  Club Africain | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Monastir | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 |  Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 |  CA Bizertin | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Tunisien | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 |  AS Marsa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 |  CS Sfaxien | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 |  ES Sahel | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  ES Zarzis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  CS Hammam-Lif | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Olympique Béja | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 |  ES Metlaoui | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 |  ES Hammam-Sousse | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |