Estac Troyes vs Le Mans prediction & odds
Estac Troyes host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 (round 9) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Estac Troyes are #264 in our world ranking and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Le Mans are #260 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Estac Troyes v Le Mans as close to a coin flip: Estac Troyes 42%, a draw 28%, Le Mans 30%.
Rating: 1189
Chance to win: 42%
Last 5: DLLLL
Rating: 1190
Chance to win: 30%
Last 5: DLLWD
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Estac Troyes are #264 and Le Mans #260 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Estac Troyes (42%). More from the Ligue 1.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Estac Troyes v Le Mans | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-03 | Le Mans v Estac Troyes | 2-2 |
Ligue 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 9 | #130 |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 8 | #206 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 7 | #260 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 7 | #82 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 8 | 5 | #264 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 2 | #228 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |