Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal prediction & odds
Esteghlal FC host Al Shamal in the AFC Champions League Elite (round 4) on Tuesday 03 November 2026. Esteghlal FC are #656 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; Al Shamal are #933 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 277 places - in Esteghlal FC's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Esteghlal FC the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 22% and Al Shamal at 23%.
Rating: 1045
Chance to win: 55%
Last 5: LDWWD
Rating: 979
Chance to win: 23%
Last 5: LWLDD
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
Esteghlal FC are #656 and Al Shamal #933 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Esteghlal FC (55%). More from the Persian Gulf Pro League.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Esteghlal FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Al Shamal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Neftchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Pakhtakor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 |  Tractor Sazi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 |  Al Sadd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 |  Al-Gharafa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |