Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction & odds
Esteghlal FC host Shams Azar Qazvin in the Persian Gulf Pro League (round 11) on Friday 30 October 2026. Esteghlal FC are #656 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; Shams Azar Qazvin are #1,783 and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,127 places - in Esteghlal FC's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Esteghlal FC the favourites at 65%, with a draw at 20% and Shams Azar Qazvin at 14%.
Rating: 1045
Chance to win: 65%
Last 5: LDWWD
Rating: 840
Chance to win: 14%
Last 5: LDDLL
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Esteghlal FC are #656 and Shams Azar Qazvin #1783 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Esteghlal FC (65%). More from the Persian Gulf Pro League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | Esteghlal FC v Shams Azar Qazvin | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Shams Azar Qazvin v Esteghlal FC | 1-1 |
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sepahan FC | 11 | 23 | #813 |
| 2 | Foolad FC | 11 | 22 | #764 |
| 3 | Persepolis FC | 10 | 20 | #914 |
| 4 | Tractor Sazi | 9 | 20 | #712 |
| 5 | Esteghlal FC | 10 | 20 | #656 |
| 6 | Chadormalu SC | 11 | 16 | #1011 |
| 15 | Malavan | 10 | 9 | #1547 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 10 | 7 | #1783 |
| 17 | Sanat Naft | 10 | 7 | #2101 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sepahan FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Foolad FC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 |  Persepolis FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 |  Tractor Sazi | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 |  Esteghlal FC | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 |  Chadormalu SC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Aluminium Arak | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Kheybar Khorramabad | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Fajr Sepasi | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Gol Gohar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Nassaji Mazandaran | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Paykan | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Esteghlal Khuzestan | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 |  ZOB Ahan | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Malavan | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Shams Azar Qazvin | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 |  Sanat Naft | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |  Mes Shahr-e Babak | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -13 | 5 |