Estrela vs Benfica prediction & odds
Estrela host Benfica in the Primeira Liga (round 11) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Estrela are #429 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; Benfica are #14 and have won all of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 415 places - in Benfica's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Benfica the favourites at 81%, with a draw at 13% and Estrela at 7%.
Rating: 1110
Chance to win: 7%
Last 5: LWLLD
Rating: 1605
Chance to win: 81%
Last 5: WWWWW
Who will win Estrela vs Benfica?
Estrela are #429 and Benfica #14 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Benfica (81%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Benfica v Estrela | 4-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Estrela v Benfica | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Estrela v Benfica | 2-3 |
| 2024-11-23 | Benfica v Estrela | 7-0 |
| 2024-08-24 | Benfica v Estrela | 1-0 |
Benfica have won the last 5 meetings.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 27 | #27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 22 | #14 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 21 | #22 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 10 | #148 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 10 | #429 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 8 | #220 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 2 |