Premier League · Regular Season - 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 11:30 UTC

Everton vs Chelsea
prediction

Our prediction

Our model sees Everton v Chelsea as close to a coin flip: Everton 38%, a draw 29%, Chelsea 33%.

Everton 38% Draw 29%Chelsea 33%
World rank: #27
Rating: 1544
Chance to win: 38%
Last 5: DWWDD
World rank: #22
Rating: 1578
Chance to win: 33%
Last 5: WLDWL

Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton are #27 and Chelsea #22 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Everton (38%). More from the Premier League.

Head to head

DateMatchScore
2026-03-21Everton v Chelsea3-0
2025-12-13Chelsea v Everton2-0
2025-04-26Chelsea v Everton1-0
2024-12-22Everton v Chelsea0-0
2024-04-15Chelsea v Everton6-0

Premier League table

#ClubPPtsWorld
3Brighton613#8
4Brentford610#14
5Everton610#27
6Chelsea610#22
7Leeds69#25
8Liverpool59#10

How this is worked out

Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.