Everton vs Newcastle: result and our prediction
Everton host Newcastle in the League Cup (Round of 16) on Thursday 29 October 2026. Everton are #23 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Newcastle are #26 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Everton v Newcastle as close to a coin flip: Everton 39%, a draw 29%, Newcastle 32%.
Rating: 1556
Chance to win: 39%
Last 5: WLLDW
Rating: 1541
Chance to win: 32%
Last 5: LWLLW
Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?
Everton are #23 and Newcastle #26 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Everton (39%). More from the Premier League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Everton v Newcastle | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Newcastle v Everton | 2-3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Everton v Newcastle | 1-4 |
| 2025-05-25 | Newcastle v Everton | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Everton v Newcastle | 0-0 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.