Excelsior vs Twente prediction & odds
Excelsior host Twente in the Eredivisie (round 11) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Excelsior are #342 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; Twente are #75 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 267 places - in Twente's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Twente the favourites at 56%, with a draw at 24% and Excelsior at 20%.
Rating: 1145
Chance to win: 20%
Last 5: WLLLD
Rating: 1384
Chance to win: 56%
Last 5: WWLWD
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
Excelsior are #342 and Twente #75 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Twente (56%). More from the Eredivisie.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Twente v Excelsior | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Excelsior v Twente | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-10 | Excelsior v Twente | 0-3 |
| 2023-12-08 | Twente v Excelsior | 4-2 |
| 2023-04-01 | Excelsior v Twente | 0-0 |
Eredivisie table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | 24 | #57 |
| 2 | Ajax | 10 | 21 | #61 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 20 | #39 |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 20 | #75 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 20 | #78 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 11 | #158 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | 11 | #342 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 9 | #372 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 |  Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |