Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira: result and our prediction
Fafe host Pacos Ferreira in the Liga 3 (round 8) on Friday 30 October 2026. Fafe are #1,065 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; Pacos Ferreira are #1,418 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 353 places - in Fafe's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Fafe the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and Pacos Ferreira at 24%.
Rating: 949
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: WDLDW
Rating: 888
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: LWWDD
Who will win Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira?
Fafe are #1065 and Pacos Ferreira #1418 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Fafe (50%). More from the Liga 3.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Fafe v Pacos Ferreira | 3-1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Pacos Ferreira v Fafe | 0-1 |
Liga 3 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 16 | #947 |
| 2 | CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 17 | #640 |
| 3 | Fafe | 8 | 13 | #1065 |
| 4 | Atlético CP | 7 | 14 | #970 |
| 14 | Caldas | 7 | 8 | #2239 |
| 15 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 8 | #1418 |
| 16 | SC Covilha | 7 | 7 | #2176 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  São João Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |