Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo: result and our prediction
Fagiano Okayama host FC Tokyo in the J1 League (round 13) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Fagiano Okayama are #494 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; FC Tokyo are #184 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 310 places - in FC Tokyo's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes FC Tokyo the favourites at 43%, with a draw at 28% and Fagiano Okayama at 29%.
Rating: 1090
Chance to win: 29%
Last 5: LLWLD
Rating: 1246
Chance to win: 43%
Last 5: WWDWL
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
Fagiano Okayama are #494 and FC Tokyo #184 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FC Tokyo (43%). More from the J1 League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Fagiano Okayama v FC Tokyo | 0-4 |
| 2025-10-25 | FC Tokyo v Fagiano Okayama | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Fagiano Okayama v FC Tokyo | 1-0 |
J1 League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 27 | #141 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27 | #184 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 26 | #178 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25 | #251 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 23 | #177 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 22 | #287 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21 | #325 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 20 | #159 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 18 | #296 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 16 | #494 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14 | #527 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 14 | #348 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 30 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 |  Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 14 |
| 14 |  Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 |