Famalicao vs Arouca prediction & odds
Famalicao host Arouca in the Primeira Liga (round 11) on Friday 06 November 2026. Famalicao are #148 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Arouca are #154 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Famalicao the favourites at 42%, with a draw at 28% and Arouca at 29%.
Rating: 1285
Chance to win: 42%
Last 5: DWLLW
Rating: 1280
Chance to win: 29%
Last 5: WWWDL
Who will win Famalicao vs Arouca?
Famalicao are #148 and Arouca #154 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Famalicao (42%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Famalicao v Arouca | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Arouca v Famalicao | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Arouca v Famalicao | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Famalicao v Arouca | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-23 | Arouca v Famalicao | 3-2 |
Primeira Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 21 | #22 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 18 | #186 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 17 | #154 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 17 | #281 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 14 | #190 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 11 | #250 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 11 | #95 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 11 | #268 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 10 | #148 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 10 | #429 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 8 | #220 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 2 |