Farense vs Penafiel: result and our prediction
Farense host Penafiel in the Segunda Liga (round 8) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Farense are #525 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Penafiel are #531 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Farense the favourites at 49%, with a draw at 26% and Penafiel at 25%.
Rating: 1082
Chance to win: 49%
Last 5: LWWWW
Rating: 1081
Chance to win: 25%
Last 5: WLLWW
Who will win Farense vs Penafiel?
Farense are #525 and Penafiel #531 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Farense (49%). More from the Segunda Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Farense v Penafiel | 1-4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Penafiel v Farense | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Farense v Penafiel | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-22 | Farense v Penafiel | 2-1 |
| 2022-11-05 | Penafiel v Farense | 0-2 |
Segunda Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 18 | #473 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 18 | #663 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 8 | 16 | #531 |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 15 | #434 |
| 5 | Farense | 8 | 14 | #525 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 8 | 14 | #630 |
| 7 | AVS | 8 | 12 | #327 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  AVS | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  União de Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Torreense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  FC Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Amarante | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |