Our model makes Estrela the favourites at 68%, with a draw at 19% and Fazendense at 13%.
Fazendense are #2217 and Estrela #326 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Estrela (68%). More from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.