FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos: result and our prediction
FBC Melgar host Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División (Clausura - 14) on Friday 30 October 2026. FBC Melgar are #773 in our world ranking and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5; Comerciantes Unidos are #1,707 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 934 places - in FBC Melgar's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes FBC Melgar the favourites at 61%, with a draw at 22% and Comerciantes Unidos at 17%.
Rating: 1018
Chance to win: 61%
Last 5: DWWDD
Rating: 857
Chance to win: 17%
Last 5: DWLDL
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos?
FBC Melgar are #773 and Comerciantes Unidos #1707 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is FBC Melgar (61%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | FBC Melgar v Comerciantes Unidos | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Comerciantes Unidos v FBC Melgar | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Comerciantes Unidos v FBC Melgar | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-02 | FBC Melgar v Comerciantes Unidos | 1-1 |
The last 4 meetings were all draws.
Primera División table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 65 | #658 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 56 | #652 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 53 | #773 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 51 | #933 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 41 | #1368 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 34 | #1707 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 34 | #1689 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 34 |
| 3 |  Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 33 |
| 4 |  Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 |  FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 28 |
| 6 |  Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 |  UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 |  UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 |  Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 |  Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 16 |