FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction & odds
FC Cincinnati host Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer (round 33) on Saturday 31 October 2026. FC Cincinnati are #697 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Philadelphia Union are #404 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 293 places - in Philadelphia Union's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union as close to a coin flip: FC Cincinnati 32%, a draw 29%, Philadelphia Union 38%.
Rating: 1032
Chance to win: 32%
Last 5: DWWLL
Rating: 1120
Chance to win: 38%
Last 5: DLDWW
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
FC Cincinnati are #697 and Philadelphia Union #404 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Philadelphia Union (38%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati | 5-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati | 4-1 |
Philadelphia Union have won the last 3 meetings.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 49 | #782 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 47 | #539 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 47 | #404 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 43 | #920 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 43 | #699 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 43 | #697 |
| 16 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 43 | #679 |
| 17 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 42 | #808 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 43 | 71 |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 58 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 43 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 39 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 |  DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -30 | 25 |